Analytics | Europe

In three and a half years of war, the EU has reduced its imports of Russian gas (pipeline and LNG) from 45% in 2021 to 13% in the second quarter of 2025. This dynamic not only weakens the financial basis of Russian aggression, but also highlights how Europe, despite growing LNG imports from the US (45% of 100+ billion m³ in 2024), is balancing between urgent replacement and long-term sustainability...

The formal reason for Russia's invasion of Ukraine is said to be the protection of the Russian-speaking population. However, Russia has begun Russification in the occupied Ukrainian territories, in particular by banning education in the Ukrainian language. This confirms that Russia's real goal is to destroy the Ukrainian nation and statehood...

In 2024, immediately after the Russian presidential election, an active process of internal repression against the Russian elite began...

The question of whether Ukraine can withdraw from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) has become not only theoretical but also strategic in nature for understanding the prospects for the further development of Kyiv's security policy and relations with its partners...

During Aleksandar Vucic's visit to Beijing in September 2025, negotiations took place during which the Serbian president expressed his willingness to cooperate with Rosatom in the context of the construction of a nuclear power plant, as the corporation has competitive advantages, in particular the presence of a complete production cycle – from construction to fuel supply and waste disposal...

Revenues from the sale of oil and petroleum products have traditionally financed not only social programmes but also the large-scale military-industrial complex. Therefore, the fuel problems we see in this country today are, without exaggeration, critical for Russia.//

The escalation currently gaining momentum on the part of the Kremlin, is both an attempt to scare Europe away from the intentions on which a consensus has finally been reached in leading European capitals, and an attempt to persuade Chinese leader Xi Jinping to provide better assistance than is currently available...

A year ago, Russian regions had budget surpluses. Soon, the situation has changed dramatically. The need to spend huge amounts of money on recruiting soldiers for the army and economic problems caused by the war have dealt a double strike to Russian regions...